Economic forecast Switzerland and World
In cooperation with Oxford Economics, BAK Economics produces economic forecasts for the Swiss economy (on a quarterly basis). The forecasts are characterised by a model-supported foundation that explicitly takes into account international factors of influence as well as by a profound differentiation with regard to macroeconomic parameters.
The forecasts are produced in the user-friendly software from Oxford Economics. This allows to carry out a large number of consistent scenarios and simulations within an econometrically sound model. The macro forecasts form the framework for all other forecast models, such as the sectoral, regional, building construction or consumer and retail trade models of BAK.
The macro forecasts are published regularly. However, it is also possible to obtain the forecasts as individually tailored data deliveries.
Overview of offers
Quarterly updated economic forecast Switzerland and for the global economy. The freely accessible data, which can be called up at any time, provide a basis for understanding economic developments in relation to known key figures. Among other things, figures on national accounts, the labour market and the financial market are available. With regard to the global economy, the USA, Japan, EU27 and Germany are reviewed.
Forecasts June 2020
The free Economic Report is updated monthly and contains the most important economic indicators including an assessment by our economists. An ideal supplementary tool for decision makers in the Swiss economy. The presentation on the labour market serves as an example.
The regional forecast is based on the regional model of BAK Economics. The model calculates real and nominal gross value added, the number of employed persons and labour productivity for the cantonal industries. For the cantonal sectors BAK Economics additionally evaluates the volume of work and hourly productivity. In the recent past, our database has undergone extensive refinements. The data are now processed down to the municipal level, which makes it possible to provide forecasts even for small economic regions.
Detailed information on the regional forecast can be found in the publication CH-Plus.
As part of the sector model, BAK Economics generates a forecast for the most important indicators of the Swiss industrial spectrum. The central indicator is the gross value added at basic prices. Additionally, forecasts are also made for value added deflators, work volume, number of employees and wages. Along with the standard analyses for the various branches of industry, BAK regularly conducts in-depth analyses of selected sectors such as retail trade, construction and tourism.
Detailed information on the industry forecast can be found in the publication CH-Plus.
Content of the publication
- Quarterly forecasts for the current and next year
- Annual forecasts and long-term trends
- Risk analysis of central assumptions and alternative scenarios
- Forecasts for over 30 Swiss industries
- Distinction between real and nominal parameters
- Annotated regional forecasts for the current and next year
- Detailed texts, tables and graphicsQuarterly forecasts for the current and next year