Economic forecast Switzerland and World
In cooperation with Oxford Economics, BAK Economics produces economic forecasts for the Swiss economy (on a quarterly basis). The forecasts are characterised by a model-supported foundation that explicitly takes into account international factors of influence as well as by a profound differentiation with regard to macroeconomic parameters.
The forecasts are produced in the user-friendly software from Oxford Economics. This allows to carry out a large number of consistent scenarios and simulations within an econometrically sound model. The macro forecasts form the framework for all other forecast models, such as the sectoral, regional, building construction or consumer and retail trade models of BAK.
The macro forecasts are published regularly. However, it is also possible to obtain the forecasts as individually tailored data deliveries.
The Economic Report «BAK MONTHLY» contains monthly economic forecasts for Switzerland and the world.
The regional forecast is based on the regional model of BAK Economics. The model calculates real and nominal gross value added, the number of employed persons and labour productivity for the cantonal industries. For the cantonal sectors BAK Economics additionally evaluates the volume of work and hourly productivity. In the recent past, our database has undergone extensive refinements. The data are now processed down to the municipal level, which makes it possible to provide forecasts even for small economic regions.
Detailed information on the regional forecast can be found in the publication CH-Plus.
Based on the BAK industry model, forecasts for the following indicators are developed: gross value added, labour volume, number of employees value added deflators. In addition, BAK conducts regularly in-depth analyses for selected sectors such as retail trade, construction or tourism.
Detailed information for industry forecasts are included in the BAK publication CH-Plus.
CH-Plus: Quarterly forecasts
Content of the publication
- Quarterly forecasts for the current and next year
- Annual forecasts and long-term trends
- Risk analysis of central assumptions and alternative scenarios
- Forecasts for over 30 Swiss industries
- Distinction between real and nominal parameters
- Annotated regional forecasts for the current and next year
- Detailed texts, tables and graphics