Current forecasts

BAK forecasts- June 2019

June 5, 2019


FORECASTS FOR THE SWISS ECONOMY

 20162017201820192020
CIVIL ECONOMICS ACCOUNTING1     
Gross domestic product1.61.62.6 1.21.7
Gross domestic product excluding major sporting events1.31.92.31.51.5
Private consumption1.51.11.11.21.2
Public consumption1.20.91.01.00.7
Gross fixed capital investment3.43.3

2.1

0.41.3
Construction spending0.51.40.7-0.10.2
Equipment investments    5.44.52.90.62.0
Exports7.03.63.83.32.5
Imports4.74.11.21.42.6
Consumer prices2-0.40.50.90.60.6
      
LABOUR MARKET     
Number of employees20.10.61.81.10.6
Registred unemployed3, in 1'000149.3143.2118.3108.2108.5
Unemployment rate3, in %3.33.22.62.42.3
      
FINANCIAL MARKETS     
3-month-euro franks interest rates3, in %-0.75-0.73-0.74-0.71-0.71
Return eidg. Bond3, in %-0.35-0.080.05-0.32-0.22
Exchange rate CHF / EUR3 1.09 1.11 1.151.131.16
Exchange rate CHF/USD0.990.980.981.011.03

1Real change p.a. in %     2Change p.a. in %     3Annual average


FORECASTS FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES AND ECONOMIC AREAS

FORECASTS FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES AND ECONOMIC AREAS

 GDP1Private consumption1Investments1Unemployment rate2Inflation2
 2019202020192020201920202019202020192020
USA2.41.62.52.02.41.93.63.52.02.0
Japan0.50.20.50.00.81.32.42.40.91.1
EU 271.51.61.61.72.32.16.46.31.61.6
Germany1.01.51.91.72.82.73.13.01.51.6
Switzerland1.21.71.21.20.41.32.42.30.60.6

1Real, change p.a. in %     2In % (annual median)

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